Risk screen

Score unresolved risk before you consider upside

Use an explainable checklist to surface missing evidence, fragile liquidity, custody problems, concentration, incentives, and absent exit rules.

Signal Scout pointing to the decision framework
Decision boundary

The score is a research-priority signal, not a probability of profit. Any critical unknown can justify a pause regardless of the total.

01Unknowns

Count them

Unverified claims increase decision risk.

02Loss

Cap it

Size from acceptable loss, never from hoped-for upside.

03Exit

Pre-write it

Liquidity and thesis-breaker rules belong before entry.

Interactive workbench

Run the decision step

Your inputs stay in this browser session and are not a recommendation or return forecast.

Select every unresolved statement
01 / Method

The screen penalizes unresolved questions

Each selected risk adds weight based on its potential to impair verification, execution, or recovery. The output explains the largest contributors.

  • Evidence quality
  • Market and liquidity structure
  • Custody and contract exposure
02 / Limits

A low score is not a buy signal

Risk screens cannot detect every exploit, governance event, legal change, or market shock. They only make known gaps visible.

  • No return forecast
  • No complete security audit
  • No personal suitability determination
03 / Response

Resolve the largest risk first

Do not average away a critical red flag. Verify the contract, source, liquidity, or custody route before moving to position sizing.

  • Pause on identity or contract uncertainty
  • Use primary sources
  • Re-run after evidence changes